Who’s Really to Blame in Trading?

In the wake of Hurricane Melissa, which struck in October 2025, food prices in Jamaica have surged, igniting a blame game between farmers and market vendors regarding the cause of these increases. Farmers argue that vendors, known as "higglers," are inflating prices beyond fair market rates, while vendors assert that rising costs and hurricane damage necessitate their mark-ups. This complex situation highlights the challenges faced by consumers, particularly those struggling economically in the aftermath of the disaster.

Last updated: 07 December 2025 (BST)

What’s happening now

The aftermath of Hurricane Melissa has created significant disruptions in Jamaica's food supply chain, leading to an ongoing dispute over rising food prices. Farmers from regions like St Elizabeth are voicing concerns that they are being wrongfully blamed for these price hikes, which they attribute to the actions of higglers who resell their produce at inflated rates. The situation is exacerbated by challenges such as increased transportation costs and the scarcity of local produce, forcing both farmers and vendors to navigate a precarious market landscape. Consumers are feeling the pinch, with many unable to afford essential goods as prices soar.

Key takeaways

• Food prices have risen sharply following Hurricane Melissa, leading to disputes between farmers and vendors.
• Farmers claim that higglers are inflating prices, while vendors argue that rising costs and scarcity drive their pricing.
• Key crops such as sweet potatoes and scallions have seen significant price increases since the hurricane.

Timeline: how we got here

Since the arrival of Hurricane Melissa in October 2025, the following significant events have shaped the current food pricing landscape:

• October 2025: Hurricane Melissa hits Jamaica, causing widespread damage to farms and disrupting the supply chain.
• November 2025: Farmers begin reporting dramatic increases in prices for staple crops, attributing the hikes to vendor practices.
• Early December 2025: A survey at Coronation Market reveals price increases of approximately £50 across various vegetables over two weeks.

What’s new vs what’s known

New today/this week

The latest reports indicate that prices for key vegetables at markets have risen sharply, with some items like Scotch bonnet peppers reportedly increasing from £3,000 to £4,000 per pound within two weeks. Farmers are vocalising their frustrations, suggesting that many may opt to sell directly to consumers rather than rely on higglers.

What was already established

Prior to these price increases, farmers often faced pressure from vendors to accept lower farm gate prices. This practice has been a long-standing issue in Jamaica’s agricultural sector, leading to a perception of unfair pricing practices that burden consumers.

Impact for the UK

Consumers and households

While the situation primarily affects Jamaica, it serves as a broader example of how natural disasters can disrupt food supply chains, influencing global markets. UK consumers may notice indirect effects through increased prices on imported goods, especially if Jamaican produce becomes scarce.

Businesses and jobs

For UK businesses, particularly those involved in the food import sector, fluctuations in prices from Caribbean suppliers may lead to increased costs. This could affect pricing strategies and profit margins, particularly in grocery and food service sectors.

Policy and regulation

In Jamaica, the government may need to step in to stabilise food prices and support both farmers and vendors. Similar discussions in the UK could lead to calls for regulatory measures to protect consumers from price inflation driven by supply chain disruptions.

Numbers that matter

• Scotch bonnet pepper price increased from £3,000 to £4,000 per pound in two weeks.
• Farm gate price for sweet potatoes reported at £250 per pound, with market prices reaching £400 in Kingston.
• Yam prices have risen to £600 per pound at market despite farm gate prices being significantly lower.

Definitions and jargon buster

• Higgler: A local vendor who buys produce from farmers and resells it at markets, often at a marked-up price.
• Farm gate price: The price a farmer receives for their produce before any additional costs incurred by vendors are added.

How to think about the next steps

Near term (0–4 weeks)

In the short term, consumers should prepare for continued price volatility as the supply chain stabilises. Monitoring local markets for price trends will be crucial.

Medium term (1–6 months)

As recovery efforts from Hurricane Melissa progress, there may be an increase in local produce availability, potentially easing prices. However, the impact of vendor pricing practices may persist.

Signals to watch

• Monitor market price fluctuations for key vegetables.
• Observe any government interventions aimed at stabilising food prices.
• Track reports on agricultural recovery and crop yields post-hurricane.

Practical guidance

Do

• Stay informed about local food prices and buying trends.
• Consider purchasing directly from farmers at local markets, if possible.

Don’t

• Don’t assume all price increases are solely due to farmers; consider market dynamics.
• Don’t neglect to support local agriculture through direct purchases.

Checklist

• Check current prices at local markets weekly.
• Research local farmer's markets for direct purchasing options.
• Stay aware of news regarding agricultural policies and support measures.

Risks, caveats, and uncertainties

Current discussions are ongoing among farmers and vendors, and the resolution of these issues may take time. Fluctuations in the global economy and ongoing climate challenges could further complicate recovery efforts. It is also essential to remember that this situation may evolve as more information becomes available about the impacts of Hurricane Melissa on crop yields and market behaviours.

Bottom line

The aftermath of Hurricane Melissa has created a complex situation in the food supply chain in Jamaica, with rising prices affecting consumers and farmers alike. Understanding the roles of both farmers and vendors is crucial in comprehending the pricing dynamics at play. As the situation develops, keeping informed and directly supporting local agriculture can help mitigate some of the economic pressures faced by consumers.

FAQs

Why have food prices increased in Jamaica?

Food prices have increased due to Hurricane Melissa's impact on the supply chain, leading to scarcity and subsequent price hikes by vendors and market sellers.

What is a higgler?

A higgler is a vendor who buys agricultural produce from farmers and sells it at markets, often marking up prices significantly.

How can consumers help during this time?

Consumers can help by purchasing directly from farmers at local markets, thereby supporting local agriculture and potentially paying fairer prices.