Are These NFL Teams Contenders or Pretenders?

The NFL 2025 season is reaching its halfway point, with Week 11 sparking discussions about the play-off contenders and pretenders. With eight weeks remaining, teams are vying for a spot in the post-season, making this an exciting time for fans and analysts alike. Key players like Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes are under scrutiny as some may miss the playoffs despite their star status.

Last updated: 03 November 2023 (BST)

What’s happening now

This week, the NFL has seen a focus on which teams are poised to secure a play-off berth as the season's intensity ramps up. Notably, the Indianapolis Colts, New England Patriots, and Denver Broncos are all leading their divisions with impressive 8-2 records, while perennial contenders like the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs are fighting to reclaim their spots in the post-season. This week’s matchups, including the Seattle Seahawks versus the Los Angeles Rams, will be pivotal in determining the trajectory of these teams heading into the final stretch.

Key takeaways

Three teams in the AFC (Colts, Patriots, Broncos) currently lead their divisions.
Star quarterbacks like Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes are at risk of missing the play-offs.
The NFC is highly competitive, with multiple teams vying for a play-off spot.

Timeline: how we got here

The current NFL season, which began on 7 September 2023, has been characterised by surprising performances and injuries affecting key players. Here are some pivotal moments leading up to Week 11:

7 September 2023: NFL season kicks off.
1 October 2023: Several teams establish early leads in their divisions.
15 October 2023: Mid-season injuries begin to impact team performances.
29 October 2023: Key matchups lead to shifts in standings as trade deadlines approach.
3 November 2023: Analysis of play-off contenders intensifies as teams prepare for Week 11.

What’s new vs what’s known

New today/this week

This week’s analysis highlights the precarious positions of teams like the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens, both of whom are in contention despite rocky starts. The Chiefs' defence has been commended, while the Ravens have shown resilience after a dismal opening.

What was already established

It has been established that seven teams from each conference will qualify for the play-offs, with the expectation that division winners will be determined by upcoming matchups in the final weeks of the regular season. The competitive nature of both conferences has been a consistent theme throughout the season.

Impact for the UK

Consumers and households

The NFL's growing popularity in the UK means fans are keenly watching the play-off picture as it affects viewership and merchandise sales. Live broadcasts, including text commentary and radio coverage, are increasingly accessible, enhancing the experience for British fans.

Businesses and jobs

As the NFL capitalises on its international audience, businesses around the UK are benefiting from increased engagement during the season. Local sports bars and merchandise vendors see a spike in sales, especially during key games that attract wider audiences.

Policy and regulation

The NFL's international growth has prompted discussions about regulatory frameworks that could enhance the experience for UK fans, including potential changes in broadcasting rights and sponsorship opportunities.

Numbers that matter

8-2: Record of the Colts, Patriots, and Broncos, leading their divisions.
6-3: Current record of the Bills and Lions, both aiming for play-off spots.
7-2: Records of the Eagles and Rams, showing strong performances in the NFC.
1-5: Start for the Ravens, showcasing a significant turnaround with three consecutive wins.
4: The number of wild-card spots available in both conferences for the post-season.

Definitions and jargon buster

Play-offs: The tournament following the regular season to determine the league champion.
Wild-card: Teams that qualify for the play-offs based on their league record rather than winning their division.
AFC/NFC: The two conferences in the NFL, American Football Conference and National Football Conference.

How to think about the next steps

Near term (0–4 weeks)

With the play-off race heating up, teams will need to focus on winning critical matchups, particularly against divisional rivals. Analysts will closely monitor injuries and player performances.

Medium term (1–6 months)

As the regular season concludes in early January, teams will solidify their play-off positions. Expect discussions on off-season strategies and potential trades to begin as teams assess their performance.

Signals to watch

Upcoming matchups between division rivals that could impact standings.
Injury reports for key players, which can significantly alter team prospects.
Performance trends in both offence and defence as teams push for play-off spots.

Practical guidance

Do

Stay updated on team standings and injury reports.
Engage with NFL content across various platforms for insights.
Attend local viewing events to support your team and connect with other fans.

Don’t

Ignore the implications of injuries on team performance.
Assume that past performance guarantees future success; every season is different.
Miss out on opportunities to watch critical matchups that could define the play-off race.

Checklist

Review team performance and standings weekly.
Follow expert analysis and predictions.
Plan viewing parties for key games to enhance the experience.
Engage with fan communities for discussions and insights.
Keep track of player injuries and recovery updates.

Risks, caveats, and uncertainties

While teams appear to be solidifying their positions, unpredictability remains a hallmark of the NFL. Injuries, sudden shifts in team dynamics, and unforeseen performances can drastically change the landscape. Furthermore, discussions around playoff formats and potential changes in the NFL's international strategy could also impact the experience for UK fans.

Bottom line

The NFL's 2025 season is shaping up to be one of high stakes as teams contend for play-off positions. For UK fans, staying informed and engaged will enhance the enjoyment of the season. With exciting matchups ahead, the focus will be on which teams can maintain momentum heading into the critical final weeks.

FAQs

Which teams are leading their divisions in the AFC?

The Indianapolis Colts, New England Patriots, and Denver Broncos are currently leading their divisions in the AFC, all with an 8-2 record.

How many teams qualify for the NFL play-offs?

A total of seven teams from each conference qualify for the play-offs, including the four division winners and three wild-card teams.

What impact do injuries have on team performance?

Injuries can significantly affect a team's performance, altering strategies and player availability, which makes monitoring injury reports crucial for fans and analysts alike.