Will the Winter Storm Wreak Havoc on Thousands of US Flights?

Severe winter weather has caused significant disruptions to air travel across the US, particularly in the North East, as thousands of flights have been cancelled or delayed during a peak holiday travel period. With forecasts indicating heavy snowfall, the situation is expected to worsen, impacting airport operations and traveller plans.

Last updated: 02 January 2024 (BST)

What’s happening now

As of Friday afternoon, nearly 1,500 flights across the US have been cancelled and around 5,400 have faced delays due to a winter storm warning issued by the National Weather Service. The storm is expected to bring up to 9 inches (23 cm) of snow to New York and southern Connecticut, beginning at 16:00 local time on Friday and continuing until 13:00 on Saturday. The worst of the weather is projected to occur between 18:00 and midnight, leading to hazardous travel conditions.

Key takeaways

• Nearly 1,500 flights cancelled and 5,400 delayed across the US.
• The North East, particularly New York, is facing severe winter weather.
• Airlines such as JetBlue and Delta have cancelled hundreds of flights.

Timeline: how we got here

Since the onset of winter storms this season, severe weather patterns have affected travel across the US. The latest storm, which began affecting flights on the afternoon of 1 January 2024, has rapidly escalated, prompting warnings and cancellations. The major milestones include:

• 14 December 2023: New York City experiences significant snowfall.
• 1 January 2024: Winter storm warning issued, leading to widespread flight cancellations.

What’s new vs what’s known

New today/this week

Flight cancellations have surged as the storm approaches, with major airlines including JetBlue, Delta, Republic, and Southwest reporting significant numbers of cancelled flights. Major airports in the New York area, including John F. Kennedy International, Newark Liberty, and LaGuardia, have experienced the most disruptions.

What was already established

Weather forecasts had previously indicated the possibility of severe winter weather, but the extent of the impact on travel became apparent as cancellations and delays began to spike. The National Weather Service had warned of potentially hazardous conditions leading up to the storm.

Impact for the UK

Consumers and households

UK travellers planning to connect through US airports may face disruptions. It is advisable to check flight statuses and consider alternative travel arrangements if necessary. The severe weather could also impact holiday plans, leading to potential financial losses for consumers.

Businesses and jobs

Businesses in sectors reliant on air travel, including tourism and logistics, may face operational challenges due to flight cancellations. Employers might need to accommodate staff who are unable to travel as scheduled, affecting productivity.

Policy and regulation

The UK government has issued travel advisories, urging caution for citizens travelling to the US during this period. Continued monitoring of the situation is expected, with possible updates on travel advisories based on evolving weather conditions.

Numbers that matter

• 1,500 flights cancelled across the US.
• 5,400 flights delayed.
• Up to 9 inches (23 cm) of snow expected in New York.
• 227 flights cancelled by JetBlue Airways.
• 213 flights cancelled by Delta Air Lines.

Definitions and jargon buster

• Winter storm warning: An alert issued by the National Weather Service indicating that severe winter weather is imminent or occurring.
• FlightAware: A flight tracking website that provides real-time information about flight statuses.

How to think about the next steps

Near term (0–4 weeks)

Travellers should monitor flight statuses closely and remain in contact with airlines for updates. Given the ongoing winter storm, additional cancellations may occur, and flexibility in travel plans is advisable.

Medium term (1–6 months)

As the winter season progresses, travellers should prepare for potential future storms. Keeping abreast of weather forecasts and airline policies regarding cancellations and refunds can help mitigate issues.

Signals to watch

• Weather updates from the National Weather Service.
• Flight status updates from airlines.
• Advice from travel authorities regarding travel safety and advisories.

Practical guidance

Do

• Check flight status regularly with your airline.
• Prepare an emergency kit if travelling by car.
• Plan for extra travel time to accommodate potential delays.

Don’t

• Don’t travel unless necessary.
• Don’t ignore weather advisories.
• Don’t assume your flight will operate as scheduled without checking.

Checklist

• Confirm flight status with your airline.
• Pack essential items in case of delays.
• Have a plan for alternative transport if necessary.
• Stay informed about weather conditions.
• Consider travel insurance for cancellations.

Risks, caveats, and uncertainties

While forecasts indicate severe weather, the precise extent of travel disruptions can vary. Conditions may change rapidly, and additional cancellations could occur. Travellers should remain vigilant and prepared for evolving circumstances.

Bottom line

The winter storm affecting the North East US is causing significant disruptions to air travel, particularly during a busy holiday period. Travellers should stay informed, check flight statuses regularly, and be prepared for potential delays or cancellations. Planning ahead and exercising caution will be essential for navigating this challenging weather situation.

FAQs

What should I do if my flight is cancelled due to the winter storm?

If your flight is cancelled due to the winter storm, contact your airline immediately for rebooking options and check for any travel advisories.

How long is the winter storm expected to last?

The winter storm is expected to impact the North East from 16:00 local time on Friday until 13:00 on Saturday, with the heaviest snowfall occurring between 18:00 and midnight.

Are there any travel advisories for UK travellers going to the US?

Yes, UK travellers are advised to monitor flight statuses and weather conditions due to the ongoing winter storm affecting the US, particularly in the North East.