Will More Snow and Ice Hit Us Soon?

Forecasters predict a colder spell of weather for the UK as we transition from January to February. A battle between cold air from the east and milder conditions from the west is anticipated, with the likelihood of colder air prevailing next week, potentially bringing sleet and snow to various regions. In the interim, the UK will experience a period of wet and windy weather, with multiple Met Office warnings in place. Understanding the dynamics of this weather shift is essential for UK residents as temperatures are set to fluctuate significantly.

Last updated: 26 January 2024 (BST)

What’s happening now

The UK is currently in the midst of a weather transition, with low pressure systems bringing heavy rain and strong winds across the country. The Met Office has issued several warnings, particularly for the south-west of England and parts of eastern Scotland, indicating that the next few days will be dominated by wet and windy conditions. As we move towards the end of January, a shift towards colder weather is expected, with temperatures likely to drop below average, especially in northern regions. This shift may also bring increased chances of sleet and snow, although precise forecasts remain uncertain at this stage.

Key takeaways

A colder spell of weather is predicted as January ends and February begins.
Current weather features wet and windy conditions across the UK.
Met Office warnings are in effect for high winds and heavy rain.
Cold air from the east may lead to snow in certain areas next week.
Weather predictions are subject to change as conditions evolve.

Timeline: how we got here

Since the start of the month, the UK has experienced a variety of weather patterns. Below is a brief timeline of significant weather developments leading up to the current situation:

1 January 2024: Mild conditions dominate the UK, with temperatures above average.
15 January 2024: The first signs of a cold front begin to emerge, with forecasts hinting at potential snow in northern Scotland.
22 January 2024: Heavy rain and strong winds start affecting the south-west of England.
26 January 2024: Met Office issues multiple weather warnings as conditions worsen, setting the stage for the colder spell expected next week.

What’s new vs what’s known

New today/this week

Forecasters have updated their predictions to indicate that colder air from the east is likely to dominate next week, with increased chances of sleet and snow in various areas. The Met Office has also issued warnings for heavy rain and strong winds, particularly affecting the south-west and eastern Scotland.

What was already established

Prior forecasts indicated fluctuating temperatures and the potential for winter weather; however, the exact timing and extent of colder air and snowfall have only become clearer in recent days. The unpredictability of the UK’s weather continues to challenge forecasters, making it difficult to pinpoint precise conditions until closer to the event.

Impact for the UK

Consumers and households

With the impending colder weather, UK households should prepare for potential disruptions. Increased energy consumption may occur as families heat their homes, potentially leading to higher bills. Additionally, travel disruptions are expected due to adverse weather conditions, particularly in areas expecting snow and ice, which may affect road safety and public transport.

Businesses and jobs

Many businesses, particularly those in the transport and logistics sectors, may face challenges due to weather-related disruptions. Companies should plan for potential delays and ensure that employees are briefed on safe travel during adverse conditions. Retailers may also experience fluctuations in customer footfall, particularly in regions affected by severe weather.

Policy and regulation

Local authorities and emergency services are likely to remain on high alert as the weather pattern evolves. Preparations for winter weather, including salt spreading and ensuring that roadways are safe, will be critical in the coming days. Upcoming discussions may also focus on long-term strategies for dealing with winter weather impacts, especially in light of changing climate conditions.

Numbers that matter

1–3 degrees Celsius: The temperature drop expected over the weekend, moving below the January average.
2–5 days: Duration of wet and windy conditions expected before colder air sets in.
3: Number of Met Office weather warnings currently in effect for various regions.
20–30 mph: Expected wind speeds associated with the current low-pressure system.
50 mm: Potential rainfall totals in areas under heavy rain warnings, particularly in eastern Scotland.

Definitions and jargon buster

Met Office: The UK’s national weather service, providing weather forecasts and warnings.
Cold front: A boundary between cold air and warmer air, which can bring precipitation and temperature drops.
Low pressure system: A region where the atmospheric pressure is lower than surrounding areas, often bringing unsettled weather.
Weather warning: An alert issued by meteorological agencies to inform the public of severe weather conditions.

How to think about the next steps

Near term (0–4 weeks)

In the immediate future, residents should prepare for wet and windy conditions, following local weather warnings. Keep an eye on weather updates from the Met Office and adjust travel plans accordingly.

Medium term (1–6 months)

Monitoring long-term weather patterns will be essential, particularly as we head into the spring. Understanding the implications of changing weather patterns can help businesses and households prepare for future conditions.

Signals to watch

Updates from the Met Office regarding weather warnings and changing forecasts.
Local news reports on travel conditions and safety advisories.
Temperature trends, particularly as the UK transitions into February.

Practical guidance

Do

Stay informed about the latest weather forecasts and warnings from the Met Office.
Prepare your home for colder weather by ensuring heating systems are functional.
Plan travel routes carefully, considering potential delays from adverse weather.

Don’t

Ignore weather warnings; they are issued for your safety.
Travel unless necessary during severe weather conditions.
Underestimate the impact of wind and rain on road conditions.

Checklist

Check emergency supplies at home (food, water, medications).
Ensure your vehicle is winter-ready (tyres, fluids, antifreeze).
Have a plan for heating your home in case of power outages.
Stay connected with family and friends, especially those who may need assistance.
Monitor weather updates regularly for changes in forecasts.

Risks, caveats, and uncertainties

Weather forecasting, particularly in the UK, is inherently uncertain due to the country's geographical position and the variability of maritime influences. While trends suggest colder weather is on the way, the exact timing and extent of snow and sleet remain unpredictable. As conditions evolve, forecasts may be revised, and residents should remain vigilant for updates from reliable sources.

Bottom line

As the UK braces for a colder spell of weather, understanding the impending changes is crucial for preparation. With wet and windy conditions transitioning to colder temperatures, it is essential for individuals and businesses to stay informed and ready for potential disruptions, particularly regarding travel and energy usage.

FAQs

What temperatures can we expect next week?

Next week, temperatures are expected to drop below the January average, particularly in northern areas, potentially reaching 1–3 degrees Celsius.

Will there be snow in the UK?

There is an increased chance of sleet and snow next week, especially in northern regions, though exact predictions will be clearer as the weather evolves.

How should I prepare for adverse weather conditions?

Stay informed via the Met Office, prepare your home for colder weather, and plan any necessary travel carefully to avoid disruptions.