Why Did Fifty Labour MPs Object to Burnham's Decision?

The recent decision to block Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham from standing in the upcoming parliamentary by-election has sparked significant controversy within the Labour Party. Around 50 Labour MPs have expressed their concerns in a letter to Sir Keir Starmer, deeming the decision a "real gift" to Reform UK, which they believe could harm Labour's chances in the Gorton and Denton constituency. The MPs argue there is "no legitimate reason" for barring Burnham and have urged the National Executive Committee (NEC) to reconsider this decision.

Last updated: 11 October 2023 (BST)

What’s happening now

The Labour Party is currently facing internal strife following the NEC's decision to block Burnham's candidacy. Many party members and MPs are voicing their discontent, arguing that Burnham's presence on the ballot could significantly enhance Labour's chances of retaining the seat. The dispute has raised questions about party unity and strategy as the party prepares for a challenging by-election against growing competition from Reform UK and the Green Party.

Key takeaways

Around 50 Labour MPs have objected to Andy Burnham being blocked from standing in the by-election.
The signatories believe Burnham represents Labour's best chance of winning the Gorton and Denton seat.
Sir Keir Starmer defended the NEC's decision, citing a need to focus resources on critical elections.

Timeline: how we got here

The situation has evolved rapidly in recent weeks:

10 September 2023: Labour's NEC meeting where the decision to block Burnham is made.
1 October 2023: Polling suggests Burnham would be a strong candidate for the Gorton and Denton seat.
8 October 2023: Approximately 50 Labour MPs sign a letter expressing their objections to the NEC's decision.

What’s new vs what’s known

New today/this week

This week, the dissent among Labour MPs has become public, highlighting a rift in strategy and approach within the party. The letter sent to Sir Keir Starmer has underscored the urgency felt by many in the party regarding Burnham's potential candidacy.

What was already established

It has long been recognised that Andy Burnham is a prominent figure within the Labour Party, with significant public support. His political presence in Greater Manchester has garnered attention, and many view him as a potential future leader of the party.

Impact for the UK

Consumers and households

For residents of Gorton and Denton, the by-election could significantly impact local services and representation. A Labour win could mean continuity in policies that affect public services, while a loss to Reform UK may shift local priorities.

Businesses and jobs

For businesses in the area, the outcome of the by-election could influence local economic policies. A strong Labour presence may promote stability and support for local enterprises, whereas a change in leadership could introduce uncertainty.

Policy and regulation

The Labour Party's internal dynamics will be crucial for upcoming policy debates. If Burnham is permitted to run, it could signal a shift in leadership dynamics and influence the party's approach to key policy issues ahead of the next general election.

Numbers that matter

13,000: The majority by which Labour secured the Gorton and Denton seat in the last election.
50: The number of Labour MPs who signed the letter objecting to the NEC's decision.
1: The number of parliamentary by-elections that Labour is currently preparing for in this constituency.

Definitions and jargon buster

NEC: National Executive Committee, the governing body of the Labour Party responsible for making key decisions.
Reform UK: A political party in the UK, formerly known as the Brexit Party, focusing on right-wing policies.

How to think about the next steps

Near term (0–4 weeks)

Expect continued discussions within Labour regarding the by-election strategy, particularly concerning Burnham's potential candidacy and party resource allocation.

Medium term (1–6 months)

Labour will need to solidify its position in the Gorton and Denton constituency, with an emphasis on campaigning effectively against Reform UK and the Greens. This may also lead to a broader reevaluation of leadership dynamics within the party.

Signals to watch

Any changes in public polling regarding the Gorton and Denton constituency.
Further letters or statements from Labour MPs regarding party strategy.
Decisions from the NEC regarding candidate eligibility and resource allocation.

Practical guidance

Do

Stay informed about developments in the Labour Party and the by-election.
Engage with local Labour representatives to voice opinions on candidate selection.

Don’t

Assume that the party's decision is final; ongoing discussions may lead to changes.
Neglect local issues that may arise due to the by-election outcomes.

Checklist

Monitor party communications for updates on the by-election.
Consider implications of candidate choices on local policies.
Engage with community discussions about the by-election.

Risks, caveats, and uncertainties

There are several uncertainties surrounding the NEC's decision and the subsequent implications. The level of support for Burnham among the electorate may fluctuate, and internal party dynamics could shift as the by-election approaches. Additionally, the rise of Reform UK and the Green Party poses new challenges that Labour must navigate carefully.

Bottom line

The current situation within the Labour Party regarding Andy Burnham’s candidacy reflects deeper strategic divisions that could shape the party’s future. As the Gorton and Denton by-election approaches, Labour must address internal dissent while preparing to confront external challenges from rival parties.

FAQs

Why has Andy Burnham been blocked from standing in the by-election?

The NEC determined that allowing Burnham to contest would distract resources from more pressing elections, a decision contested by many Labour MPs.

What are the implications of this decision for Labour?

This decision may weaken Labour's chances in the Gorton and Denton constituency, as many believe Burnham would have been their strongest candidate.

How are Labour MPs reacting to the NEC’s decision?

Around 50 Labour MPs have signed a letter objecting to the decision, expressing concern that it could benefit rival parties like Reform UK.