Can Juan Soto Deliver Big with Free MLB Home Run Picks for September 20?

In a surprising turnaround, the New York Mets have rebounded from a tough eight-game losing streak, winning four of their last five games as they head into Saturday's MLB schedule. Star outfielder Juan Soto has been a crucial part of this resurgence, hitting a career-high 42 home runs this season, including two in his last three games. With Soto's odds set at +325 to hit another home run on Saturday, bettors are keenly interested in his performance, especially given the Mets’ recent form.

Last updated: 20 September 2023 (BST)

Key Takeaways on MLB Home Run Betting

• Juan Soto has a career-high 42 home runs this season, with 19 hit after the All-Star break.
• The Mets have shown significant improvement, winning four of their last five games.
• SportsLine’s model has been successful, hitting multiple home run parlays this season.
• Betting odds vary across sportsbooks, highlighting potential value in HR props.
• Weather conditions and pitcher matchups play crucial roles in home run betting.

Juan Soto: A Rising Star with Power

Juan Soto's performance this season has been nothing short of exceptional. With 42 home runs, he leads the Mets' batting lineup, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure. His recent surge, with seven homers in September alone, has made him a focal point for bettors. Facing his former team, the Washington Nationals, and a rookie pitcher, Soto is in a favourable position to add to his tally. The odds of +325 reflect his strong potential for another home run, making him a prime candidate for MLB betting on Saturday.

Assessing Soto's Performance and Betting Odds

Betting markets are buzzing around Soto due to his impressive metrics. This season, 31 of his home runs have come against right-handed pitchers, a critical statistic as he prepares to face a rookie, which generally favours hitters. Additionally, the Mets are riding a wave of momentum, having recently defeated the Nationals 12-6, further bolstering Soto's chances of contributing to the scoreboard.

Why Bet on Soto?

There are several reasons why betting on Soto to hit a home run is appealing:

• Recent Form: Soto's ability to hit home runs has increased, particularly in the latter half of the season.
• Favourable Matchup: Facing a rookie pitcher can often lead to favourable outcomes for seasoned hitters.
• Team Momentum: The Mets are performing better, creating a positive atmosphere that can enhance player performance.

Other MLB Home Run Picks for Saturday

Besides Soto, there are other key players to watch this Saturday. The SportsLine's proven computer model has highlighted three additional players as strong candidates to hit home runs:

Nick Kurtz, Athletics (+478)

Nick Kurtz has emerged as a name to watch, especially after his recent success. With +478 odds, he presents a longshot opportunity for bettors. Kurtz's performance against right-handed pitchers has been impressive, and although Bubba Chandler has been tough on left-handed hitters, Kurtz's track record suggests he could break through. His line has been set at +310, indicating strong value for those willing to bet on him.

Christian Yelich, Brewers (+520)

Christian Yelich's history against pitcher Miles Mikolas makes him an intriguing pick. Though he has not dominated Mikolas, he has managed to hit two home runs off him in 51 career plate appearances. With left-handed hitters achieving a .272 average and 15 home runs against Mikolas this season, Yelich's odds of +520 reflect a potentially profitable bet, particularly in batter-friendly conditions expected in St. Louis.

Where to Bet on MLB HR Props

For those looking to place bets on home run props, several reputable sportsbooks are available. Each site offers different odds and promotions, enhancing the betting experience:

• BetMGM: Competitive odds and bonuses for first-time users.
• DraftKings: Known for its extensive range of MLB props and promotions.
• FanDuel: Offers unique betting options and solid customer service.

What’s Next for MLB Betting?

As the MLB season progresses, opportunities for betting on player performance will continue to evolve. Bettors should keep an eye on player form, injury reports, and weather conditions that could impact games. With tools like SportsLine’s projection model, which simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, bettors can gain insights into which players may be poised for success. The model's track record of being up 28.45 units on HR picks this season underscores its value in guiding betting decisions.

As we move deeper into the season, it will be fascinating to see how player performances and team dynamics shape the betting landscape. With Soto, Kurtz, and Yelich all in play, Saturday promises to be an exciting day for MLB home run betting. Will you be placing a bet on these power hitters as they take the field? #MLBBetting #JuanSoto #HomeRunProps

FAQs

What factors influence MLB home run betting?

Key factors include player performance trends, matchups against pitchers, weather conditions, and team dynamics. Bettors should assess these elements before placing bets.

How do odds work for home run betting?

Odds represent the bookmaker's estimation of the likelihood of an event occurring. For example, +325 means that a bet of £100 would return £325 in profit if the player hits a home run.

What is the best sportsbook for MLB prop bets?

Popular sportsbooks for MLB prop bets include DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, each offering various promotions and competitive odds.

Can I bet on multiple players to hit home runs in one game?

Yes, many sportsbooks allow you to parlay bets on multiple players hitting home runs, potentially increasing your payout if successful.

Are there strategies for betting on home runs?

Strategies include analysing player performance against specific pitchers, considering weather conditions, and evaluating recent team performance to identify value bets.